Oversold

MARA

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth37/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential56/ 100

MARA's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue +0.7%, operating margin -138.1 percentage points. The business score is 37/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 51.3% upside, or about $18.13.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 56% downside, or about $5.27, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MARA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE3.7x14x73% lower
PE percentile2.95094% lower
EPS-$9.45-$0.97$8.48 lower
FCF-$1.6B-$522.7M-$1B
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MARA’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MARA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

MARA’s outlook is mixed, though analyst coverage is limited.

MARA PE Valuation

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This table applies MARA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MARA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MARA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MARA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MARA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MARA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MARA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MARA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MARA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MARA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MARA PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares MARA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MARA Weekly Price

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This chart uses MARA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MARA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MARA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MARA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

TSM

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth91/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

TSM's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 2.7%, from $417.52 to $428.91. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 0.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +30.8%, earnings +56.9%, operating margin +7.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 26.7% of revenue. The business score is 90.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 27.3% upside, or about $551.51.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 19.5%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 29.2% downside, or about $306.73, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TSM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE31x26x21% higher
PE percentile725045% higher
EPS$13.98$5.97134% higher
FCF$38.2B$18.6B106% higher
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TSM’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

TSM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

TSM’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

TSM PE Valuation

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This table applies TSM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TSM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks TSM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TSM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks TSM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TSM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks TSM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TSM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in TSM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TSM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TSM PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares TSM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TSM Weekly Price

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This chart uses TSM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TSM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares TSM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TSM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.