Oversold

MCFT

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth51/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

MCFT's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +22.8%, earnings -24.7%, operating margin -4.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 6.5% of revenue. The business score is 50.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 23.3% upside, or about $29.78.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 27.4%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 31.9% downside, or about $16.45, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MCFT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE36x15x146% higher
PE percentile905081% higher
EPS$0.32$1.6480% lower
FCF$22.8M$42.4M46% lower
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MCFT’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

MCFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

MCFT’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

MCFT PE Valuation

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This table applies MCFT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MCFT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MCFT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MCFT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MCFT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MCFT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MCFT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MCFT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MCFT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MCFT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MCFT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares MCFT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MCFT Weekly Price

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This chart uses MCFT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MCFT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MCFT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MCFT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.