Oversold

MCK

Valuation57/ 100
Cash flow & growth64/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

MCK's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.6%, from $893.39 to $907.99. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 0.5 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 23.6× versus the full-history median of 25.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 55.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 57.4/100. The model applies a 13.3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 25.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 25.4× PE and $45.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +8.8%, earnings +49.1%, operating margin +0.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 1.5% of revenue. The business score is 64.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $45.62 of EPS and a 25.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $1159.72. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 31.6% upside, or about $1160.07.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $32.01 of EPS and a 21.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $679.05 — 23% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MCK vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE24x25x7% lower
PE percentile365029% lower
EPS$37.37$12.94189% higher
FCF$6.2B$4.5B38% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

MCK’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MCK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

MCK’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

MCK PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies MCK's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MCK Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks MCK's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MCK Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks MCK's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MCK Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks MCK's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MCK Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in MCK's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MCK Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MCK PE vs Healthcare Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares MCK's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MCK Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses MCK's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MCK Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares MCK's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MCK Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.