Oversold

MERC

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth29/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential48/ 100

MERC's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -4.8%, operating margin -12.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is -8.3% of revenue. The business score is 29.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 36.1% upside, or about $0.52.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 43.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 47.5% downside, or about $0.20, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MERC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE4.2x7.3x43% lower
PE percentile52504% higher
EPS-$7.73-$0.74$6.99 lower
FCF-$154.2M-$17.1M-$137.1M
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MERC’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MERC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

MERC’s outlook is mixed, though analyst coverage is limited.

MERC PE Valuation

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This table applies MERC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MERC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MERC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MERC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MERC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MERC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MERC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MERC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MERC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MERC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MERC PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares MERC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MERC Weekly Price

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This chart uses MERC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MERC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MERC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MERC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.