Oversold

META

Valuation53/ 100
Cash flow & growth58/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

META's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 6.7%, from $578.02 to $616.77.

Valuation and price changes added 0.8 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 24.4× versus the full-history median of 26.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 56.1/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 52.8/100. The model applies a 4.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 26.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 26.1× PE and $29.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +27.7%, earnings -3.9%, operating margin -5.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 18% of revenue. The business score is 57.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $29.84 of EPS and a 26.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $778.17. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 20.1% upside, or about $778.28.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $22.79 of EPS and a 21.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $495.75 — 24% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

META vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE24x26x4% lower
PE percentile265047% lower
EPS$26.54$15.9566% higher
FCF$41B$38.5B7% higher
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META’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

META Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionModerate

META’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

META PE Valuation

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This table applies META's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

META Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks META's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

META Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks META's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

META Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks META's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

META Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in META's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

META Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

META PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares META's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

META Weekly Price

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This chart uses META's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

META Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares META's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

META Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

MSGE

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth67/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

MSGE's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 1.1%, from $78.30 to $77.41. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.3 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +12.5%, operating margin -0.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 41.6% of revenue. The business score is 66.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 19.3% upside, or about $94.47.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 27.7% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 15.7% and the PE falls 14.2%. That gives $1.16 per share at a 49.2× PE, or about $57.27. Price swings alone suggest 26% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MSGE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE57x40x43% higher
PE percentile735045% higher
EPS$1.38-$2.57$3.95 higher
FCF$441.3M-$92.2M+$533.5M
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MSGE’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

MSGE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

MSGE’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

MSGE PE Valuation

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This table applies MSGE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MSGE Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MSGE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MSGE Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MSGE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MSGE Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MSGE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MSGE Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MSGE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MSGE Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MSGE PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares MSGE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MSGE Weekly Price

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This chart uses MSGE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MSGE Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MSGE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MSGE Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.