Oversold

METC

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth18/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential57/ 100

METC's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages, while forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -17.7%, operating margin -10.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is -26.3% of revenue. The business score is 17.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 46.7% upside, or about $19.36.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 44.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 56.5% downside, or about $5.74, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

METC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE41x19x117% higher
PE percentile875074% higher
EPS-$1.18$0.74259% lower
FCF-$135.7M$20.1M774% lower
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METC’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

METC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

METC’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

METC PE Valuation

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This table applies METC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

METC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks METC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

METC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks METC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

METC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks METC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

METC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in METC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

METC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

METC PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares METC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

METC Weekly Price

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This chart uses METC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

METC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares METC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

METC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.