Oversold

MGNI

Valuation67/ 100
Cash flow & growth82/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

MGNI's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 5 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.9%, from $23.70 to $24.14.

Valuation and price changes added 4.8 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 21.6× versus the full-history median of 80.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 67.1/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 67.2/100. The model applies a 21% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 39.6× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +8.3%, earnings +292.6%, operating margin +4.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 28.6% of revenue. The business score is 81.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 48.8% upside, or about $35.37.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 20.1%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 46.4% downside, or about $12.74, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MGNI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE22x369x94% lower
PE percentile195062% lower
EPS$1.10-$0.34$1.44 higher
FCF$212.1M$120.4M76% higher
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MGNI’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MGNI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

MGNI’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

MGNI PE Valuation

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This table applies MGNI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MGNI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MGNI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MGNI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MGNI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MGNI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MGNI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MGNI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MGNI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MGNI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MGNI PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares MGNI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MGNI Weekly Price

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This chart uses MGNI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MGNI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MGNI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MGNI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

WBD

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth59/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

WBD's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and the outlook sends mixed signals, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -6.1%, operating margin +4.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 6% of revenue. The business score is 59.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 27.3% upside, or about $35.69.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.3%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 40% downside, or about $16.82, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

WBD vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE90x32x179% higher
PE percentile865072% higher
EPS-$1.27-$0.80$0.47 lower
FCF$2.2B$3.6B40% lower
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WBD’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

WBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

WBD’s outlook is mixed, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

WBD PE Valuation

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This table applies WBD's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

WBD Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks WBD's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

WBD Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks WBD's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

WBD Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks WBD's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

WBD Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in WBD's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

WBD Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

WBD PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares WBD's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

WBD Weekly Price

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This chart uses WBD's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

WBD Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares WBD's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

WBD Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.