Oversold

MOG-A

Valuation39/ 100
Cash flow & growth69/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

MOG-A's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are above averages and the outlook is broadly stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 5 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 0.8%, from $374.66 to $371.68.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 4.5 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 31.2× versus the full-history median of 25.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 37.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 38.5/100. The model applies a 14.3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 29.7× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 31.2× PE and $14.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +15.6%, earnings +76.5%. Free cash flow is 5.6% of revenue. The business score is 68.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $14.56 of EPS and a 31.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $453.65. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 23.6% upside, or about $453.64.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $9.99 of EPS and a 25.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $257.55 — 30% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MOG-A vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE31x51x38% lower
PE percentile765052% higher
EPS$11.77$4.94138% higher
FCF$243.9M$66.8M265% higher
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MOG-A’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MOG-A Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

MOG-A’s outlook is generally stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

MOG-A PE Valuation

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This table applies MOG-A's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MOG-A Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MOG-A's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MOG-A Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MOG-A's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MOG-A Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MOG-A's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MOG-A Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MOG-A's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MOG-A Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MOG-A PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares MOG-A's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MOG-A Weekly Price

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This chart uses MOG-A's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MOG-A Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MOG-A's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MOG-A Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.