Oversold

MOMO

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth56/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

MOMO's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 5 points, mainly due to business results and financial strength. Price fell 6.1%, from $5.72 to $5.37. Reported annual EPS changed from $0.63 to $0.97.

Business results and financial strength added 4.6 points. Valuation and price changes added 0.5 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -3.4%, earnings +42.9%, operating margin -1.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 10.3% of revenue. The business score is 56/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 20.4% upside, or about $6.47.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 33.7% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 19.5% and the PE falls 17.6%. That gives $0.78 per share at a 4.6× PE, or about $3.56. Price swings alone suggest 30.3% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MOMO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE5.5x6.4x14% lower
PE percentile325037% lower
EPS$0.97$0.5771% higher
FCF$148.5M$219.3M32% lower
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MOMO’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MOMO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

MOMO’s outlook is mixed, though analyst coverage is limited.

MOMO PE Valuation

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This table applies MOMO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MOMO Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MOMO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MOMO Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MOMO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MOMO Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MOMO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MOMO Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MOMO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MOMO Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MOMO PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares MOMO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MOMO Weekly Price

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This chart uses MOMO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MOMO Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MOMO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MOMO Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.