Oversold

MQ

Valuation57/ 100
Cash flow & growth84/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

MQ's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to a return to profit and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 0.7%, from $16.47 to $16.58.

The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 168× versus the full-history median of 544× shown in the valuation table, producing 57.1/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 57.1/100. The model applies a 7.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 551.9× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +22.4%, operating margin +17.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 25.2% of revenue. The business score is 84/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 27.3% upside, or about $20.79.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 25.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 36.6% downside, or about $10.35, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MQ vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE168x862x80% lower
PE percentile3.55193% lower
EPS$0.10-$0.80$0.89 higher
FCF$170.6M$37.3M358% higher
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MQ’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

MQ’s outlook is generally improving, supported by an expected return to profitability.

MQ PE Valuation

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This table applies MQ's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MQ Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MQ's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MQ Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MQ's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MQ Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MQ's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MQ Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MQ's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MQ Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MQ PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares MQ's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MQ Weekly Price

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This chart uses MQ's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MQ Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MQ's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MQ Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.