Oversold

MSB

Same as last week
Valuation25/ 100
Cash flow & growth34/ 100
Upside potential20/ 100
Risk potential72/ 100

MSB's valuation is somewhat elevated and fundamentals are below averages.

Valuation

Estimated operating-earnings valuation: current PE is 34.2x versus 8.1x in comparable estimated history. The model caps earnings at operating profit after interest, assuming proportional tax and per-share effects. This is an estimate, not a verified investment-gain adjustment.

Reported EPS and PE remain in the valuation table. The same estimate is applied to historical earnings and eligible price scenarios. Its contribution to the score is limited by the available evidence; it does not identify all non-recurring items. Comparable history: 117 weeks.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -84.3%, operating margin -35.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 36.8% of revenue. The business score is 33.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $0.58 of EPS and a 29.6× PE, suggesting about $17.16 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $27.48. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.32 of EPS and a 21× PE, suggesting a share price of about $6.66 — 72% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MSB vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE28x11x155% higher
PE percentile925084% higher
EPS$0.86$2.9571% lower
FCF$5.5M$38.2M86% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

MSB’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

MSB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earnings--
Forward revenue--
Forward profitability--
Analyst coverage--
Estimate dispersion--

MSB PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies MSB's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MSB Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks MSB's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MSB Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks MSB's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MSB Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks MSB's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MSB Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in MSB's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MSB Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MSB PE vs Basic Materials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares MSB's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MSB Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses MSB's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MSB Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares MSB's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MSB Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.