Oversold

MSTR

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth42/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential56/ 100

MSTR's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and an expected return to profit offers recovery potential, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +7.8%, operating margin -1356.6 percentage points. The business score is 41.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 51.1% upside, or about $197.90.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 38.4%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 56.4% downside, or about $57.10, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MSTR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE5.1x436x99% lower
PE percentile050100% lower
EPS-$96.83-$4.23$92.60 lower
FCF$11.3B-$1.6B+$13B
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MSTR’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MSTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitability--
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

MSTR’s available outlook is mixed, supported by an expected return to profitability.

MSTR PE Valuation

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This table applies MSTR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MSTR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MSTR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MSTR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MSTR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MSTR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MSTR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MSTR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MSTR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MSTR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MSTR PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares MSTR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MSTR Weekly Price

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This chart uses MSTR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MSTR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MSTR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MSTR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

NBIS

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth66/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential64/ 100

NBIS's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +460.9%, operating margin +148.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is -434.2% of revenue. The business score is 65.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 83.7% upside, or about $412.50.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 33.6%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 64.4% downside, or about $79.94, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NBIS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE805x146x449% higher
PE percentile9849100% higher
EPS-$0.13$0.67119% lower
FCF-$5.9B-$73.1M-$5.8B
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NBIS’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

NBIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss widening
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

NBIS’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

NBIS PE Valuation

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This table applies NBIS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NBIS Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NBIS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NBIS Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NBIS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NBIS Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NBIS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NBIS Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NBIS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NBIS Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NBIS PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares NBIS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NBIS Weekly Price

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This chart uses NBIS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NBIS Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NBIS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NBIS Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.