Oversold

MTX

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth42/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

MTX's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +4.1%, operating margin -14.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 5.6% of revenue. The business score is 42.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15.8% upside, or about $79.68.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 33.5% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 21.8% and the PE falls 15%. That gives $3.65 per share at a 12.5× PE, or about $45.73. Price swings alone suggest 25.7% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MTX vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE15x55x73% lower
PE percentile355031% lower
EPS-$2.18$3.16169% lower
FCF$120.3M$116.5M3% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

MTX’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MTX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

MTX’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

MTX PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies MTX's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MTX Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks MTX's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MTX Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks MTX's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MTX Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks MTX's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MTX Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in MTX's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MTX Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MTX PE vs Basic Materials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares MTX's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MTX Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses MTX's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MTX Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares MTX's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MTX Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.