Oversold

MU

Same as last week
Valuation63/ 100
Cash flow & growth94/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

MU's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 22.1× versus the full-history median of 21.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 49.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 62.6/100. The model applies a 44.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 24.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 29.3× PE and $68.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +167%, earnings +696%, operating margin +43.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 29% of revenue. The business score is 93.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $68.71 of EPS and a 29.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $2013.06. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 106.4% upside, or about $2012.94.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $38.88 of EPS and a 17.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $684.31 — 30% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MU vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE22x27x17% lower
PE percentile52503% higher
EPS$44.21$3.891,037% higher
FCF$26.2B$748.2M3,398% higher
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MU’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

MU’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

MU PE Valuation

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This table applies MU's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MU Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MU's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MU Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MU's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MU Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MU's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MU Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MU's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MU Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MU PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares MU's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MU Weekly Price

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This chart uses MU's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MU's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MU Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

NATL

Valuation56/ 100
Cash flow & growth71/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

NATL's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and the outlook is broadly stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 2 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 0.4%, from $46.26 to $46.09. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 1.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 18.2× versus the full-history median of 21.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 56.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 56/100. The model applies a 8.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 20.6× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 19.4× PE and $3 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +3.5%, earnings +45.5%, operating margin +5.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 2.4% of revenue. The business score is 70.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $3.01 of EPS and a 19.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $58.19. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 24.8% upside, or about $58.18.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.16 of EPS and a 17.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $37.72 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NATL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE18x53x65% lower
PE percentile5.15190% lower
EPS$2.56-$1.00$3.56 higher
FCF$108M$201M46% lower
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NATL’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NATL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

NATL’s outlook is generally stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

NATL PE Valuation

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This table applies NATL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NATL Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NATL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NATL Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NATL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NATL Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NATL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NATL Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NATL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NATL Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NATL PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares NATL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NATL Weekly Price

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This chart uses NATL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NATL Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NATL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NATL Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.