Oversold

MU

Same as last week
Valuation63/ 100
Cash flow & growth94/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

MU's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 22.1× versus the full-history median of 21.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 49.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 62.6/100. The model applies a 44.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 24.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 29.3× PE and $68.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +167%, earnings +696%, operating margin +43.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 29% of revenue. The business score is 93.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $68.71 of EPS and a 29.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $2013.06. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 106.4% upside, or about $2012.94.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $38.88 of EPS and a 17.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $684.31 — 30% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MU vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE22x27x17% lower
PE percentile52503% higher
EPS$44.21$3.891,037% higher
FCF$26.2B$748.2M3,398% higher
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MU’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

MU’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

MU PE Valuation

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This table applies MU's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MU Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MU's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MU Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MU's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MU Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MU's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MU Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MU's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MU Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MU PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares MU's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MU Weekly Price

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This chart uses MU's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MU's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MU Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

SIMO

Same as last week
Valuation90/ 100
Cash flow & growth77/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SIMO's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 8.3× versus the full-history median of 17.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 87/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 90/100. The model applies a 42.5% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 17× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 10.3× PE and $52.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +70.9%, earnings +789.6%, operating margin +6.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is -9.2% of revenue. The business score is 77.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $52.60 of EPS and a 10.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $539.59. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 89.7% upside, or about $539.66.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $29.82 of EPS and a 7.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $227.16 — 20% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SIMO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE8.3x19x57% lower
PE percentile25096% lower
EPS$34.16$4.76618% higher
FCF-$120.5M$69.6M273% lower
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SIMO’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

SIMO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

SIMO’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

SIMO PE Valuation

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This table applies SIMO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SIMO Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SIMO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SIMO Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SIMO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SIMO Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SIMO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SIMO Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SIMO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SIMO Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SIMO PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares SIMO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SIMO Weekly Price

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This chart uses SIMO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SIMO Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SIMO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SIMO Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.