Oversold

MUR

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth62/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

MUR's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 12 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 2.3%, from $35.63 to $36.44. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 12.0 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +8.8%, operating margin +0.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 10.9% of revenue. The business score is 62.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 24.2% upside, or about $47.82.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.3%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 33.3% downside, or about $25.68, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MUR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE19x14x33% higher
PE percentile805061% higher
EPS$2.02$1.4737% higher
FCF$329.8M$747.7M56% lower
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MUR’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

MUR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

MUR’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

MUR PE Valuation

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This table applies MUR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MUR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MUR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MUR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MUR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MUR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MUR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MUR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MUR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MUR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MUR PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares MUR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MUR Weekly Price

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This chart uses MUR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MUR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MUR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MUR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.