Oversold

MUSA

Same as last week
Valuation39/ 100
Cash flow & growth65/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

MUSA's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are above averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 15.9× versus the full-history median of 14.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 43.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 39.2/100. The model applies a 2.7% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 16.9× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 16.9× PE and $36.5 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +10.3%, earnings +35.9%, operating margin +0.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 2.5% of revenue. The business score is 65.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $36.53 of EPS and a 16.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $616.46. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 17.7% upside, or about $616.25.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $27.44 of EPS and a 14.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $394.02 — 25% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MUSA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE16x15x8% higher
PE percentile605019% higher
EPS$32.83$21.4953% higher
FCF$541.5M$456.5M19% higher
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MUSA’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

MUSA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

MUSA’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

MUSA PE Valuation

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This table applies MUSA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MUSA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MUSA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MUSA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MUSA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MUSA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MUSA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MUSA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MUSA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MUSA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MUSA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares MUSA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MUSA Weekly Price

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This chart uses MUSA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MUSA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MUSA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MUSA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.