Oversold

NBR

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth41/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential48/ 100

NBR's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and expected margin pressure limits the outlook, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 0.9%, from $91.71 to $90.84.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 1.3 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +6.1%, operating margin -16.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 1.2% of revenue. The business score is 41.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 38.5% upside, or about $125.48.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 40.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 47.8% downside, or about $47.29, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NBR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE6.7x5.7x18% higher
EPS$13.44-$41.51$54.95 higher
FCF$39.7M$83.5M53% lower
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NBR’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

NBR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

NBR’s outlook is mixed, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

NBR PE Valuation

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This table applies NBR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NBR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NBR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NBR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NBR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NBR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NBR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NBR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NBR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NBR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NBR PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares NBR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NBR Weekly Price

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This chart uses NBR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NBR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NBR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NBR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.