Oversold

NCNO

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth78/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

NCNO's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +8.6%, operating margin +11.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 21.2% of revenue. The business score is 77.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 32.6% upside, or about $28.18.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 21.7%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 37.6% downside, or about $13.26, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NCNO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE71x206x66% lower
EPS$0.30-$0.44$0.74 higher
FCF$132.2M$24.4M442% higher
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NCNO’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NCNO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

NCNO’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

NCNO PE Valuation

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This table applies NCNO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NCNO Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NCNO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NCNO Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NCNO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NCNO Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NCNO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NCNO Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NCNO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NCNO Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NCNO PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares NCNO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NCNO Weekly Price

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This chart uses NCNO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NCNO Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NCNO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NCNO Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.