Oversold

NEGG

Valuation66/ 100
Cash flow & growth60/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential77/ 100

NEGG's valuation is historically cheap while fundamentals are somewhat mixed and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 4 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 8.3%, from $16.70 to $15.32. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 4.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 34.3× versus the full-history median of 112.2× shown in the valuation table, producing 66.6/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 66.4/100. The model applies a 1.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 80.2× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +4.7%, operating margin +2.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 0% of revenue. The business score is 59.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 90% upside, or about $29.11.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 25%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 76.8% downside, or about $3.55, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NEGG vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE34x184x81% lower
PE percentile050100% lower
EPS$0.45-$0.90$1.35 higher
FCF$122.6K-$16.3M+$16.4M
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NEGG’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NEGG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning negative
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

NEGG’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

NEGG PE Valuation

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This table applies NEGG's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NEGG Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NEGG's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NEGG Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NEGG's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NEGG Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NEGG's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NEGG Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NEGG's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NEGG Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NEGG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares NEGG's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NEGG Weekly Price

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This chart uses NEGG's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NEGG Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NEGG's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NEGG Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.