Oversold

NESR

Valuation25/ 100
Cash flow & growth69/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

NESR's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 11 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 0.9%, from $34.44 to $34.75. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 11.1 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 36.6× versus the full-history median of 20× shown in the valuation table, producing 17.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 25.1/100. The model applies a 42.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 21.6× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 36.4× PE and $1.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +23.5%, earnings +19%, operating margin -0.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 9.7% of revenue. The business score is 69/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $1.41 of EPS and a 36.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $51.38 — 53% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.80 of EPS and a 26.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $21.40 — 36% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NESR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE37x22x70% higher
PE percentile895079% higher
EPS$0.92$0.4986% higher
FCF$156.3M$95M65% higher
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NESR’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

NESR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

NESR’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

NESR PE Valuation

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This table applies NESR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NESR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NESR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NESR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NESR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NESR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NESR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NESR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NESR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NESR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NESR PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares NESR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NESR Weekly Price

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This chart uses NESR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NESR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NESR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NESR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.