The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 0.4%, from $25.18 to $25.28. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Historical cheapness: current PE is 10.7× versus the full-history median of 11.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 54.1/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 53.6/100. The model applies a 8.7% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 11.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 11× PE and $2.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue -2%, earnings +16.8%, operating margin +27.2 percentage points. The business score is 65.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.83 of EPS and a 11× PE, suggesting a share price of about $31.07 — 22% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.89 of EPS and a 10.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $19.57 — 23% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.