Oversold

NEXN

Valuation10/ 100
Cash flow & growth42/ 100
Upside potential37/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

NEXN's valuation is expensive, fundamentals are below averages, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 13 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 6.5%, from $10.23 to $9.56.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 13.3 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 42.9× versus the full-history median of 15× shown in the valuation table, producing 8.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 10.3/100. The model applies a 33.3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 16× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 35.3× PE and $0.3 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +3%, earnings -69.7%, operating margin -9.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 23.2% of revenue. The business score is 41.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $0.32 of EPS and a 35.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $11.32 — 18% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.19 of EPS and a 32.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $6.33 — 34% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NEXN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE43x20x116% higher
PE percentile925084% higher
EPS$0.22$0.3943% lower
FCF$88.8M$92M3% lower
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NEXN’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

NEXN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

NEXN’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

NEXN PE Valuation

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This table applies NEXN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NEXN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NEXN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NEXN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NEXN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NEXN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NEXN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NEXN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NEXN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NEXN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NEXN PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares NEXN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NEXN Weekly Price

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This chart uses NEXN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NEXN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NEXN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NEXN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.