Oversold

NFLX

Valuation58/ 100
Cash flow & growth69/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

NFLX's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins.

Score change since last week

The score rose 10 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 4.2%, from $81.72 to $78.25. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 9.2 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Estimated operating-earnings valuation: current PE is 29.7x versus 46.1x in comparable estimated history. The model caps earnings at operating profit after interest, assuming proportional tax and per-share effects. This is an estimate, not a verified investment-gain adjustment.

Reported EPS and PE remain in the valuation table. The same estimate is applied to historical earnings and eligible price scenarios. Its contribution to the score is limited by the available evidence; it does not identify all non-recurring items. Comparable history: 40 weeks.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +16%, operating margin +0.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 22.7% of revenue. The business score is 68.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $3.33 of EPS and a 33.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $110.52. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 42.8% upside, or about $110.53.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.29 of EPS and a 28× PE, suggesting a share price of about $64.10 — 29% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NFLX vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE24x49x51% lower
PE percentile115079% lower
EPS$3.18$1.43123% higher
FCF$11B$4.6B137% higher
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NFLX’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

NFLX’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

NFLX PE Valuation

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This table applies NFLX's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NFLX's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NFLX's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NFLX's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NFLX Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NFLX's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NFLX Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares NFLX's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NFLX Weekly Price

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This chart uses NFLX's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NFLX's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NFLX Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

PSKY

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth38/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential54/ 100

PSKY's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue +2.4%, operating margin -26.7 percentage points. The business score is 38.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 38.6% upside, or about $14.69.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 41.9%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 54.3% downside, or about $4.84, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

PSKY vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.56-$3.12$2.56 higher
FCF$440M$387.7M13% higher
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PSKY’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages.

PSKY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

PSKY’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

PSKY PE Valuation

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This table applies PSKY's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

PSKY Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks PSKY's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

PSKY Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks PSKY's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

PSKY Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks PSKY's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

PSKY Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in PSKY's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

PSKY Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

PSKY PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares PSKY's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

PSKY Weekly Price

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This chart uses PSKY's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

PSKY Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares PSKY's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

PSKY Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.