Oversold

NGG

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth50/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

NGG's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: limited comparable growth data. The business score is 50/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $88.39. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 20.1% downside, or about $61.41, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NGG vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE9.4x7.5x25% higher
PE percentile665033% higher
EPS$8.18$9.1911% lower
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NGG’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

NGG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

NGG’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

NGG PE Valuation

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This table applies NGG's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NGG Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NGG's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NGG Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NGG's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NGG Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NGG's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NGG Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NGG's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NGG Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NGG PE vs Utilities Sector

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This chart compares NGG's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Utilities sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NGG Weekly Price

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This chart uses NGG's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NGG Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NGG's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NGG Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

SMR

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth23/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential70/ 100

SMR's valuation appears fair, weak fundamentals weigh on the score, while forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -81%, operating margin -6620.1 percentage points. The business score is 23/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 74% upside, or about $14.98.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 69.5% downside, or about $2.63, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SMR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$2.57-$1.34$1.23 lower
FCF-$776.9M-$193.4M-$583.5M
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SMR’s earnings are below their historical averages.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

SMR’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

SMR PE Valuation

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This table applies SMR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SMR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SMR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SMR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SMR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SMR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SMR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SMR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SMR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

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This chart compares SMR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Utilities sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SMR Weekly Price

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This chart uses SMR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SMR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SMR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.