Oversold

NGL

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth52/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

NGL's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -21.6%, operating margin +4.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 5.9% of revenue. The business score is 51.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 24.6% upside, or about $21.90.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 30.6%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 35.6% downside, or about $11.32, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NGL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$3.05-$2.17$0.88 lower
FCF$209.6M$149.7M40% higher
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NGL’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages.

NGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

NGL’s outlook is mixed, supported by an expected return to profitability.

NGL PE Valuation

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This table applies NGL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NGL Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NGL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NGL Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NGL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NGL Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NGL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NGL Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NGL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NGL Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NGL PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares NGL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NGL Weekly Price

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This chart uses NGL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NGL Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NGL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NGL Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.