Oversold

NGS

Valuation57/ 100
Cash flow & growth58/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

NGS's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 2 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 4.7%, from $34.69 to $36.33. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 1.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 22.6× versus the full-history median of 22.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 51.1/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 57.2/100. The model applies a 24.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 21.8× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 22.8× PE and $2.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +15.4%, earnings +13.4%, operating margin +1.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is -16.5% of revenue. The business score is 57.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.16 of EPS and a 22.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $49.28. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 35.7% upside, or about $49.30.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.38 of EPS and a 17.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $24.48 — 33% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NGS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE23x43x47% lower
PE percentile48504% lower
EPS$1.61$0.36342% higher
FCF-$31.3M-$36.8M+$5.5M
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NGS’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NGS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

NGS’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

NGS PE Valuation

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This table applies NGS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NGS Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NGS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NGS Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NGS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NGS Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NGS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NGS Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NGS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NGS Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NGS PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares NGS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NGS Weekly Price

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This chart uses NGS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NGS Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NGS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NGS Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.