Oversold

NIO

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth64/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

NIO's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +63.7%, operating margin +29 percentage points. The business score is 63.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 43.2% upside, or about $5.28.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 27.7%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 45.3% downside, or about $2.02, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NIO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.28-$1.25$0.97 higher
Loading historical comparisons…

NIO’s earnings are above their historical averages.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

NIO’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

NIO PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies NIO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks NIO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks NIO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks NIO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NIO Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in NIO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NIO Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares NIO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NIO Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses NIO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares NIO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NIO Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

WDC

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth81/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

WDC's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 3 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.7%, from $459.45 to $467.46. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 2.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +13.4%, operating margin +11.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 24.9% of revenue. The business score is 80.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 46.1% upside, or about $653.33.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 20%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 44.1% downside, or about $249.97, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

WDC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE18x25x27% lower
PE percentile55509% higher
EPS$24.82$1.941,182% higher
FCF$3.2B$342.7M840% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

WDC’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

WDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

WDC’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

WDC PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies WDC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

WDC Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks WDC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

WDC Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks WDC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

WDC Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks WDC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

WDC Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in WDC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

WDC Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

WDC PE vs Technology Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares WDC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

WDC Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses WDC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

WDC Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares WDC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

WDC Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.