Oversold

NIQ

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth45/ 100
Upside potential40/ 100
Risk potential54/ 100

NIQ's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -5.3%, operating margin -0.6 percentage points. The business score is 45/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 36.1% upside, or about $24.28.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 31.9%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 53.6% downside, or about $8.28, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NIQ vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$1.22-$2.14$0.92 higher
FCF$395.1M-$44.9M+$440M
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NIQ’s earnings are above their historical averages.

NIQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

NIQ’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

NIQ PE Valuation

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This table applies NIQ's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NIQ Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NIQ's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NIQ Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NIQ's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NIQ Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NIQ's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NIQ Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NIQ's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NIQ Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NIQ PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares NIQ's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NIQ Weekly Price

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This chart uses NIQ's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NIQ Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NIQ's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NIQ Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.