Oversold

NJR

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth50/ 100
Upside potential36/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NJR's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 14.7× versus the full-history median of 15.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 53.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 50.2/100. The model applies a 4.3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 15.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 15.2× PE and $4.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +7%, earnings -11.8%, operating margin -1.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 3.4% of revenue. The business score is 49.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $4.11 of EPS and a 15.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $62.37. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 17.3% upside, or about $62.36.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.99 of EPS and a 13.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $39.16 — 26% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NJR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE15x17x12% lower
PE percentile435015% lower
EPS$3.62$2.6139% higher
FCF$76.1M-$172M+$248.1M
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NJR’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NJR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

NJR’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

NJR PE Valuation

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This table applies NJR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NJR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NJR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NJR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NJR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NJR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NJR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NJR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NJR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NJR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NJR PE vs Utilities Sector

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This chart compares NJR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Utilities sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NJR Weekly Price

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This chart uses NJR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NJR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NJR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NJR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

SMR

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth23/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential70/ 100

SMR's valuation appears fair, weak fundamentals weigh on the score, while forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -81%, operating margin -6620.1 percentage points. The business score is 23/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 74% upside, or about $14.98.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 69.5% downside, or about $2.63, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SMR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$2.57-$1.34$1.23 lower
FCF-$776.9M-$193.4M-$583.5M
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SMR’s earnings are below their historical averages.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

SMR’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

SMR PE Valuation

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This table applies SMR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SMR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SMR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SMR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SMR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SMR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SMR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SMR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SMR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

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This chart compares SMR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Utilities sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SMR Weekly Price

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This chart uses SMR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SMR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SMR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.