Oversold

NKE

Valuation85/ 100
Cash flow & growth53/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

NKE's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are below averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 3.0%, from $39.60 to $38.40. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 17.5× versus the full-history median of 30.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 81.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 85.2/100. The model applies a 30.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 28.8× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 20.6× PE and $2.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +0.2%, earnings -2.8%, operating margin +0.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 4.7% of revenue. The business score is 52.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.95 of EPS and a 20.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $60.65 — 64% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.82 of EPS and a 16.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $29.83 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NKE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE18x34x49% lower
PE percentile0.95098% lower
EPS$2.10$3.0331% lower
FCF$2.2B$4.6B53% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

NKE’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

NKE’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

NKE PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies NKE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks NKE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks NKE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks NKE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NKE Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in NKE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NKE Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares NKE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NKE Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses NKE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares NKE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NKE Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

UAA

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth34/ 100
Upside potential36/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

UAA's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -3.4%, operating margin -9.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is -1.6% of revenue. The business score is 34/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 25.7% upside, or about $6.42.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 46.3% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 29.9% and the PE falls 23.4%. That gives $0.18 per share at a 15.6× PE, or about $2.74. Price swings alone suggest 38.8% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

UAA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE20x27x25% lower
PE percentile405021% lower
EPS-$1.15$0.034,457% lower
FCF-$81.1M-$50.8M-$30.3M
Loading historical comparisons…

UAA’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

UAA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

UAA’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

UAA PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies UAA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

UAA Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks UAA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

UAA Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks UAA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

UAA Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks UAA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

UAA Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in UAA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

UAA Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

UAA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares UAA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

UAA Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses UAA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

UAA Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares UAA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

UAA Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.