Oversold

NMFC

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth24/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NMFC's valuation appears fair, weak fundamentals weigh on the score and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -32.1%, operating margin -43.5 percentage points. The business score is 24/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $8.60. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 18.3% downside, or about $6.11, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NMFC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE60x11x469% higher
PE percentile10050101% higher
EPS-$0.48$1.12143% lower
FCF$660.6M$130.2M407% higher
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NMFC’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

NMFC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

NMFC’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

NMFC PE Valuation

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This table applies NMFC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NMFC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NMFC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NMFC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NMFC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NMFC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NMFC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NMFC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NMFC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NMFC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NMFC PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares NMFC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NMFC Weekly Price

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This chart uses NMFC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NMFC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NMFC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NMFC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.