Oversold

NOAH

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth56/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

NOAH's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and expected margin pressure limits the outlook, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +1%, earnings +4.1%, operating margin +5.5 percentage points. The business score is 56.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 24.6% upside, or about $10.50.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 35.7% downside, or about $5.42, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NOAH vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE1.4x1.5x6% lower
PE percentile46508% lower
EPS$6.07$6.141% lower
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NOAH’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NOAH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

NOAH’s outlook is mixed, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

NOAH PE Valuation

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This table applies NOAH's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NOAH Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NOAH's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NOAH Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NOAH's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NOAH Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NOAH's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NOAH Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NOAH's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NOAH Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NOAH PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares NOAH's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NOAH Weekly Price

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This chart uses NOAH's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NOAH Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NOAH's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NOAH Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.