Oversold

NOC

Valuation52/ 100
Cash flow & growth61/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

NOC's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages, but expected margin pressure limits the outlook.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 5.6%, from $545.57 to $514.98. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 1.1 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 16.5× versus the full-history median of 17.2× shown in the valuation table, producing 52.8/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 52/100. The model applies a 8.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 19.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 18.6× PE and $36.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +5.9%, earnings +16%, operating margin -0.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 8.5% of revenue. The business score is 61.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $36.85 of EPS and a 18.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $684.32. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 31.9% upside, or about $684.52.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $26.93 of EPS and a 15.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $411.96 — 21% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NOC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE16x19x12% lower
PE percentile46507% lower
EPS$31.48$26.4819% higher
FCF$3.6B$2.1B70% higher
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NOC’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NOC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

NOC’s outlook is mixed, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

NOC PE Valuation

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This table applies NOC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NOC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NOC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NOC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NOC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NOC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NOC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NOC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NOC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NOC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NOC PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares NOC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NOC Weekly Price

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This chart uses NOC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NOC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NOC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NOC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

VRT

Valuation74/ 100
Cash flow & growth83/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

VRT's valuation is attractive, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Score change since last week

The score rose 2 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 9.1%, from $257.08 to $280.53.

Valuation and price changes added 2.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 58.2× versus the full-history median of 71.5× shown in the valuation table, producing 63.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 74.1/100. The model applies a 38.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 71.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 74× PE and $6.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +26.2%, earnings +111.5%, operating margin +1.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 25.5% of revenue. The business score is 82.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.59 of EPS and a 74× PE, suggesting a share price of about $488.00. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 89.8% upside, or about $487.90.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $3.91 of EPS and a 52.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $204.47 — 21% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

VRT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE58x95x39% lower
PE percentile165068% lower
EPS$4.42$0.75491% higher
FCF$2.9B$636.7M359% higher
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VRT’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

VRT’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

VRT PE Valuation

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This table applies VRT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

VRT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks VRT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks VRT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

VRT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks VRT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

VRT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in VRT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

VRT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares VRT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

VRT Weekly Price

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This chart uses VRT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares VRT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

VRT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.