Oversold

NOMD

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth42/ 100
Upside potential31/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

NOMD's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 2 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 2.0%, from $11.88 to $11.64.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 2.0 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -3.4%, earnings -34.1%, operating margin -1.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 6.9% of revenue. The business score is 42.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $12.63. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 31.2% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 19.5% and the PE falls 14.4%. That gives $0.82 per share at a 9.2× PE, or about $7.56. Price swings alone suggest 24% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NOMD vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE11x14x23% lower
PE percentile275046% lower
EPS$1.02$1.3122% lower
FCF$238.6M$315.2M24% lower
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NOMD’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NOMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

NOMD’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

NOMD PE Valuation

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This table applies NOMD's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NOMD Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NOMD's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NOMD Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NOMD's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NOMD Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NOMD's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NOMD Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NOMD's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NOMD Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NOMD PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

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This chart compares NOMD's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NOMD Weekly Price

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This chart uses NOMD's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NOMD Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NOMD's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NOMD Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.