Oversold

NOVT

Valuation45/ 100
Cash flow & growth54/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

NOVT's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 5 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 4.3%, from $142.20 to $148.36. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 4.8 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 94× versus the full-history median of 85.3× shown in the valuation table, producing 43.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 45.3/100. The model applies a 14.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 84.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 90.4× PE and $1.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +7.6%, earnings -8.2%, operating margin -1.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 11.1% of revenue. The business score is 54.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $1.93 of EPS and a 90.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $174.37. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 19% upside, or about $174.41.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.33 of EPS and a 73.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $97.68 — 33% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NOVT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE94x88x7% higher
PE percentile675035% higher
EPS$1.56$1.666% lower
FCF$114.3M$98.2M16% higher
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NOVT’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

NOVT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

NOVT’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

NOVT PE Valuation

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This table applies NOVT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NOVT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NOVT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NOVT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NOVT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NOVT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NOVT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NOVT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NOVT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NOVT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NOVT PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares NOVT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NOVT Weekly Price

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This chart uses NOVT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NOVT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NOVT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NOVT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

PLTR

Valuation87/ 100
Cash flow & growth95/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

PLTR's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Score change since last week

The score rose 9 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 6.4%, from $186.29 to $174.33. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 9.2 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 141.7× versus the full-history median of 265.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 82.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 86.7/100. The model applies a 41.7% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 257.2× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 192.2× PE and $1.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +78.9%, earnings +288.9%, operating margin +26.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 54.6% of revenue. The business score is 94.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $1.80 of EPS and a 192.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $346.07. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 106.9% upside, or about $346.00.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.04 of EPS and a 126× PE, suggesting a share price of about $131.16 — 22% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

PLTR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE142x312x55% lower
PE percentile7.45085% lower
EPS$1.18-$0.15$1.33 higher
FCF$3.4B$737M356% higher
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PLTR’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

PLTR’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

PLTR PE Valuation

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This table applies PLTR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks PLTR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks PLTR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks PLTR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

PLTR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in PLTR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

PLTR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares PLTR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

PLTR Weekly Price

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This chart uses PLTR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares PLTR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

PLTR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.