Oversold

NSSC

Valuation65/ 100
Cash flow & growth60/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

NSSC's valuation is attractive, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 4.7%, from $35.35 to $37.01. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 1.2 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 30.2× versus the full-history median of 36.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 63.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 65.3/100. The model applies a 15.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 34.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 33.7× PE and $1.5 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +11.4%, earnings +1.7%, operating margin -2.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 29.3% of revenue. The business score is 60.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $1.49 of EPS and a 33.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $50.27. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 38.6% upside, or about $50.26.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.02 of EPS and a 27.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $27.96 — 23% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NSSC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE30x43x30% lower
PE percentile295042% lower
EPS$1.20$0.8246% higher
FCF$59.2M$30.8M92% higher
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NSSC’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NSSC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

NSSC’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

NSSC PE Valuation

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This table applies NSSC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NSSC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NSSC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NSSC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NSSC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NSSC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NSSC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NSSC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NSSC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NSSC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NSSC PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares NSSC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NSSC Weekly Price

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This chart uses NSSC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NSSC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NSSC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NSSC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.