Oversold

NTAP

Valuation24/ 100
Cash flow & growth71/ 100
Upside potential25/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

NTAP's valuation is expensive, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Score change since last week

The score rose 3 points, mainly due to business results and financial strength. Price fell 0.8%, from $187.02 to $185.59. Reported annual EPS changed from $6.37 to $7.09.

Business results and financial strength added 2.3 points. Valuation and price changes added 0.8 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 28.1× versus the full-history median of 17.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 22.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 23.7/100. The model applies a 13.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 19.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 24.3× PE and $8.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +12.2%, earnings +22.9%. Free cash flow is 22.3% of revenue. The business score is 70.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $8.69 of EPS and a 24.3× PE, suggesting about $210.98 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $229.17. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $6.07 of EPS and a 23.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $140.12 — 30% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NTAP vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE28x18x59% higher
PE percentile955091% higher
EPS$7.09$4.8546% higher
FCF$1.7B$1.2B32% higher
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NTAP’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

NTAP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionModerate

NTAP’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

NTAP PE Valuation

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This table applies NTAP's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NTAP Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NTAP's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NTAP Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NTAP's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NTAP Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NTAP's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NTAP Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NTAP's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NTAP Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NTAP PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares NTAP's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NTAP Weekly Price

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This chart uses NTAP's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NTAP Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NTAP's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NTAP Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.