Oversold

NTCT

Valuation87/ 100
Cash flow & growth80/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

NTCT's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and the outlook is broadly stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 9 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 4.7%, from $39.06 to $37.22. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 9.9 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 23.1× versus the full-history median of 46× shown in the valuation table, producing 85.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 86.6/100. The model applies a 18.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 27.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 26.5× PE and $2.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +5.8%, earnings +65.2%, operating margin +4.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 29.2% of revenue. The business score is 79.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.12 of EPS and a 26.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $56.11. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 47.5% upside, or about $56.12.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.40 of EPS and a 21.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $30.49 — 20% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NTCT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE23x69x67% lower
PE percentile115077% lower
EPS$1.65-$0.78$2.43 higher
FCF$258.1M$189.2M36% higher
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NTCT’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NTCT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

NTCT’s outlook is generally stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

NTCT PE Valuation

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This table applies NTCT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NTCT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NTCT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NTCT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NTCT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NTCT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NTCT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NTCT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NTCT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NTCT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NTCT PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares NTCT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NTCT Weekly Price

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This chart uses NTCT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NTCT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NTCT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NTCT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

SNDK

Valuation65/ 100
Cash flow & growth75/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential64/ 100

SNDK's valuation is attractive, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 4 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 17.2%, from $1484.98 to $1740.00.

Valuation and price changes added 4.1 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 22.1× versus the full-history median of 63× shown in the valuation table, producing 64.6/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 64.9/100. The model applies a 44.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 63× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +175.3%. Free cash flow is 56.8% of revenue. The business score is 74.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 93.2% upside, or about $3155.63.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 19.5%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 64% downside, or about $588.01, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SNDK vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE22x92x76% lower
PE percentile245052% lower
EPS$73.76-$1.69$75.45 higher
FCF$11.5B$600.6M1,814% higher
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SNDK’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

SNDK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

SNDK’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

SNDK PE Valuation

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This table applies SNDK's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SNDK Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SNDK's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SNDK Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SNDK's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SNDK Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SNDK's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SNDK Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SNDK's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SNDK Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SNDK PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares SNDK's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SNDK Weekly Price

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This chart uses SNDK's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SNDK Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SNDK's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SNDK Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.