Oversold

NTGR

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth34/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

NTGR's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -1.4%, operating margin -12.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is -2.8% of revenue. The business score is 34.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 25.1% upside, or about $26.66.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 40.7% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 26.5% and the PE falls 19.3%. That gives $1.05 per share at a 12× PE, or about $12.64. Price swings alone suggest 39.5% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NTGR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE15x34x56% lower
PE percentile335034% lower
EPS-$1.45-$0.45$1.00 lower
FCF-$19.4M$47.4M141% lower
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NTGR’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NTGR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

NTGR’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

NTGR PE Valuation

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This table applies NTGR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NTGR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NTGR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NTGR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NTGR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NTGR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NTGR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NTGR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NTGR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NTGR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NTGR PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares NTGR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NTGR Weekly Price

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This chart uses NTGR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NTGR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NTGR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NTGR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.