Oversold

NTR

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth75/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

NTR's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins.

Score change since last week

The score fell 2 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 8.1%, from $73.51 to $79.47. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 1.8 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 15.9× versus the full-history median of 16.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 53.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 50/100. The model applies a 4.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 16.7× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 17.5× PE and $5.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +8.6%, earnings +77.1%, operating margin +4.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 7.5% of revenue. The business score is 75.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $5.56 of EPS and a 17.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $97.31. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 24% upside, or about $97.28.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $4.18 of EPS and a 13.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $55.86 — 29% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NTR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE16x30x48% lower
PE percentile445012% lower
EPS$4.94$4.725% higher
FCF$2.1B$2.6B19% lower
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NTR’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

NTR’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

NTR PE Valuation

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This table applies NTR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NTR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NTR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NTR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NTR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NTR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NTR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NTR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NTR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NTR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NTR PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares NTR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NTR Weekly Price

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This chart uses NTR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NTR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NTR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NTR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.