Oversold

NVDA

Same as last week
Valuation92/ 100
Cash flow & growth93/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NVDA's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 27.6× versus the full-history median of 65.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 89.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 92/100. The model applies a 44.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 50.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 33.9× PE and $12.3 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +83.4%, earnings +125.4%, operating margin +7.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 41.9% of revenue. The business score is 93.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $12.26 of EPS and a 33.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $415.41 — 90% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $7.09 of EPS and a 25.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $178.98 — 18% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NVDA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE28x74x63% lower
PE percentile0.65099% lower
EPS$7.91$1.54413% higher
FCF$127B$33B284% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

NVDA’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

NVDA’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

NVDA PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies NVDA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks NVDA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks NVDA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks NVDA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NVDA Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in NVDA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NVDA Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares NVDA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NVDA Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses NVDA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares NVDA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NVDA Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

VRSN

Same as last week
Valuation44/ 100
Cash flow & growth68/ 100
Upside potential31/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

VRSN's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 31.8× versus the full-history median of 29.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 45.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 43.9/100. The model applies a 7.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 29.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 30.4× PE and $10.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +6.9%, earnings +10%, operating margin -0 percentage points. Free cash flow is 62.4% of revenue. The business score is 67.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $10.71 of EPS and a 30.4× PE, suggesting about $325.93 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $336.62. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $7.79 of EPS and a 27.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $214.66 — 27% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

VRSN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE32x30x6% higher
PE percentile695038% higher
EPS$9.22$7.3725% higher
FCF$1.1B$833.3M28% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

VRSN’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

VRSN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

VRSN’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

VRSN PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies VRSN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

VRSN Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks VRSN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

VRSN Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks VRSN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

VRSN Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks VRSN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

VRSN Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in VRSN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

VRSN Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

VRSN PE vs Technology Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares VRSN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

VRSN Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses VRSN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

VRSN Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares VRSN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

VRSN Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.