Oversold

NVGS

Same as last week
Valuation47/ 100
Cash flow & growth75/ 100
Upside potential37/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

NVGS's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Estimated operating-earnings valuation: current PE is 14x versus 13.9x in comparable estimated history. The model caps earnings at operating profit after interest, assuming proportional tax and per-share effects. This is an estimate, not a verified investment-gain adjustment.

Reported EPS and PE remain in the valuation table. The same estimate is applied to historical earnings and eligible price scenarios. Its contribution to the score is limited by the available evidence; it does not identify all non-recurring items. Comparable history: 107 weeks.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +8.4%, operating margin +5.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 21.7% of revenue. The business score is 75.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $1.85 of EPS and a 14.1× PE, suggesting about $25.99 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $26.60. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.38 of EPS and a 13.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $18.04 — 25% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NVGS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE11x22x51% lower
PE percentile3.85092% lower
EPS$2.17$0.59267% higher
FCF$133.2M$71.2M87% higher
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NVGS’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NVGS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

NVGS’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

NVGS PE Valuation

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This table applies NVGS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NVGS Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NVGS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NVGS Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NVGS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NVGS Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NVGS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NVGS Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NVGS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NVGS Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NVGS PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares NVGS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NVGS Weekly Price

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This chart uses NVGS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NVGS Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NVGS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NVGS Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.