Oversold

NVO

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth55/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

NVO's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and expected margin pressure limits the outlook, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 11 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 2.2%, from $45.61 to $46.60.

Valuation and price changes added 10.9 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +5.6%, earnings +5%, operating margin -2.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 14.9% of revenue. The business score is 55.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 24% upside, or about $53.41.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.7%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 38.5% downside, or about $26.49, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NVO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE11x28x62% lower
PE percentile5.45089% lower
EPS$4.09$2.3674% higher
FCF$7.6B$8.5B10% lower
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NVO’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

NVO’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

NVO PE Valuation

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This table applies NVO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NVO Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NVO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NVO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NVO Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NVO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NVO Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NVO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NVO Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares NVO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NVO Weekly Price

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This chart uses NVO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NVO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NVO Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

PRGO

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth46/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

PRGO's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -4.2%, operating margin -1.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 4.2% of revenue. The business score is 45.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 19.8% upside, or about $16.36.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 46.2% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 31.8% and the PE falls 21.1%. That gives $0.02 per share at a 307.9× PE, or about $7.35. Price swings alone suggest 36.4% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

PRGO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE390x123x218% higher
PE percentile904982% higher
EPS-$12.52-$1.64$10.88 lower
FCF$175M$180.7M3% lower
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PRGO’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

PRGO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

PRGO’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

PRGO PE Valuation

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This table applies PRGO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

PRGO Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks PRGO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

PRGO Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks PRGO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

PRGO Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks PRGO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

PRGO Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in PRGO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

PRGO Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

PRGO PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares PRGO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

PRGO Weekly Price

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This chart uses PRGO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

PRGO Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares PRGO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

PRGO Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.