Oversold

NWN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth58/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

NWN's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and the outlook is broadly stable, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +4.4%, operating margin +11.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is -20.6% of revenue. The business score is 57.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $55.71. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 18.8% downside, or about $39.33, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NWN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE16x17x5% lower
PE percentile425017% lower
EPS$3.05$2.5420% higher
FCF-$266M-$147.2M-$118.8M
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NWN’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

NWN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

NWN’s outlook is generally stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

NWN PE Valuation

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This table applies NWN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NWN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NWN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NWN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NWN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NWN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NWN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NWN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NWN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NWN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NWN PE vs Utilities Sector

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This chart compares NWN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Utilities sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NWN Weekly Price

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This chart uses NWN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NWN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NWN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NWN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.