Oversold

NWPX

Valuation33/ 100
Cash flow & growth78/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

NWPX's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are above averages and the outlook is broadly stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 8 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 3.9%, from $112.03 to $107.67.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 7.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 21× versus the full-history median of 15× shown in the valuation table, producing 28.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 33.2/100. The model applies a 23.5% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 16.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 18.7× PE and $6.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +15.1%, earnings +50.3%, operating margin +2.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 13.9% of revenue. The business score is 77.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.68 of EPS and a 18.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $124.82. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 19.3% upside, or about $124.84.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $4.26 of EPS and a 16.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $71.10 — 32% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NWPX vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE21x15x36% higher
PE percentile865073% higher
EPS$4.99$2.6390% higher
FCF$79.7M$19M320% higher
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NWPX’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

NWPX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

NWPX’s outlook is generally stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

NWPX PE Valuation

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This table applies NWPX's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NWPX Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks NWPX's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NWPX Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks NWPX's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NWPX Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks NWPX's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NWPX Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in NWPX's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NWPX Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NWPX PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares NWPX's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NWPX Weekly Price

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This chart uses NWPX's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NWPX Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares NWPX's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NWPX Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.