Oversold

OCUL

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth31/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential62/ 100

OCUL's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -8.1%, operating margin -200.4 percentage points. The business score is 31.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 38.8% upside, or about $14.56.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 62.2% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 44.7% and the PE falls 31.7%. That gives lower earnings at a lower valuation, or about the scenario price. Price swings alone suggest 53.9% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

OCUL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$1.42-$1.42$0.00 lower
FCF-$255.1M-$103.4M-$151.7M
Loading historical comparisons…

OCUL’s earnings are below their historical averages.

OCUL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss widening
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

OCUL’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

OCUL PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies OCUL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

OCUL Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks OCUL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

OCUL Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks OCUL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

OCUL Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks OCUL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

OCUL Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in OCUL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

OCUL Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

OCUL PE vs Healthcare Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares OCUL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

OCUL Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses OCUL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

OCUL Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares OCUL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

OCUL Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.