Oversold

ORCL

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth54/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

ORCL's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +17.4%, earnings +34.3%, operating margin +0 percentage points. Free cash flow is -40% of revenue. The business score is 54.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 28.7% upside, or about $193.41.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 26.3%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 38.4% downside, or about $92.57, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ORCL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE24x29x18% lower
PE percentile47506% lower
EPS$6.38$3.9362% higher
FCF-$28.7B$4.4B748% lower
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ORCL’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ORCL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionTight

ORCL’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

ORCL PE Valuation

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This table applies ORCL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ORCL Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ORCL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ORCL Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ORCL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ORCL Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ORCL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ORCL Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ORCL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ORCL Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ORCL PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares ORCL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ORCL Weekly Price

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This chart uses ORCL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ORCL Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ORCL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ORCL Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

SMR

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth23/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential70/ 100

SMR's valuation appears fair, weak fundamentals weigh on the score, while forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -81%, operating margin -6620.1 percentage points. The business score is 23/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 74% upside, or about $14.98.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 69.5% downside, or about $2.63, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SMR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$2.57-$1.34$1.23 lower
FCF-$776.9M-$193.4M-$583.5M
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SMR’s earnings are below their historical averages.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

SMR’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

SMR PE Valuation

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This table applies SMR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SMR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SMR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SMR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SMR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SMR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SMR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SMR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SMR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

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This chart compares SMR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Utilities sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SMR Weekly Price

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This chart uses SMR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SMR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SMR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.