Oversold

OSG

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth50/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSG's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: limited comparable growth data. The business score is 50/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 25% upside, or about $6.21.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 34.9% downside, or about $3.24, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

OSG vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE6.7x10x34% lower
PE percentile775055% higher
EPS-$3.64-$2.39$1.25 lower
FCF-$62.1M-$2.8M-$59.4M
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OSG’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

OSG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

OSG’s outlook is generally improving, with declining sales expectations a concern.

OSG PE Valuation

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This table applies OSG's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

OSG Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks OSG's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

OSG Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks OSG's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

OSG Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks OSG's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

OSG Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in OSG's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

OSG Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

OSG PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares OSG's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

OSG Weekly Price

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This chart uses OSG's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

OSG Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares OSG's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

OSG Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.