Oversold

PAAS

Same as last week
Valuation80/ 100
Cash flow & growth94/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

PAAS's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 15.2× versus the full-history median of 24.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 78.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 79.9/100. The model applies a 16.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 22.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 19.7× PE and $4.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +38%, earnings +129.9%, operating margin +11 percentage points. Free cash flow is 35.7% of revenue. The business score is 93.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $4.20 of EPS and a 19.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $82.78. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 64.4% upside, or about $82.76.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.75 of EPS and a 14.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $38.90 — 23% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

PAAS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE15x54x72% lower
PE percentile4.95090% lower
EPS$3.31$0.36813% higher
FCF$1.5B$262.3M485% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

PAAS’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

PAAS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

PAAS’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

PAAS PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies PAAS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

PAAS Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks PAAS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

PAAS Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks PAAS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

PAAS Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks PAAS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

PAAS Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in PAAS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

PAAS Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

PAAS PE vs Basic Materials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares PAAS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

PAAS Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses PAAS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

PAAS Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares PAAS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

PAAS Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.